Basketball and gambling have more in common than you might think. In order to succeed at either pursuit, it helps to have a proven system. In the event of basketball, obtaining a reliable offensive strategy that you can roll out each game irrespective of the matchup gives you a leg-up. Believe Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace assault or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll offense from the 1980s and 90s.
If it comes to gambling, you can gain the same sort of benefit by having a closely defined set of rules which you can use to every single game regardless of who is on the court.
Luckily, you don’t need to produce your own betting strategy from scratch. There are already a few established strategies which you can try on for size when you put down wagers on your favourite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering in the playbooks of those who arrived before you. We’ve included a number of the most dependable systems and money-management strategies below, together with insights about how best to use them. When coupled with an comprehension of the sport, these systems can help turn rookie betters into all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few strategies are easier to learn and apply in relation to the High Totals System created by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Becoming a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks often underestimate game totals for NBA non-conference games, and started taking the over on all games using an over/under of 220 total points. It is a simple approach, but it paid off as he had been correct 63.5% of time for many games meeting that criteria from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those kinds of games were rarities a decade before, but they are becoming more common now as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points per match. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and climbed all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy to this trend, but there is still worth to be found by taking the above in matches with especially high total-point projections.
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